Nonlinear Thinking

Compendium/Miscellanea/Almanac 04.17.2013

Stuff that has crossed my radar lately for one reason or another.

• The Strategic Plan is Dead.  Long Live Strategy. (Stanford Social Innovation Review)
• A new reality between the CMO and CIO (ZDNet)
• We’re from Corporate and We’re Here to Help (Strategy + Business)
• The Software Revolution Behind LinkedIn’s Gushing Profits (Wired)
• Pragmatic Pathway – New Approaches to Organizational Change (Deloitte University Press)
• Global Information Technology Report 2013 (World Economic Forum)
• Viral’s Secret Formula (Huffington Post)
• All eyes on the sharing economy (The Economist)
• 13 Hot Business Model Innovations (Sustainable Brands)
• Challenges and Opportunities of Investing in Cleantech and Renewable Energy (IGEL@Wharton)
• Marketers Rise to the Cloud Challenge (CMO.com)

Sustainability Becomes Mission Critical

After myriad proclamations over the past decade that the notion/concept of sustainability as a corporate imperative had crossed the Rubicon and entered the mainstream, it appears that maybe a destination of sorts has been reached.  A recent panel of senior executives from consulting, banking and the chemical industries sat down to debate and discuss this critical shift during the recent Wharton Social Impact conference and generally agreed that the movement has finally become a central part of the mission statement at many enterprises.

If building a sustainable enterprise was a fashionable trend five years ago, today it is a business imperative. Forward-looking corporations have figured out that a focus on environmental, social and governmental (ESG) factors is not just a bid to burnish their image, but rather it is a necessity in today's marketplace. And if done well, it is a true competitive advantage.

An important, and critical, divide seems to be opening between those companies that get it and those that don’t.  Despite protestations from a sub-stratum of firms that view an embrace of the green/sustainable strategy as a cost rather than an opportunity, more and more high-profile enterprises are engaging at varying levels of investment.

In fact, for savvy companies, a strategy built around sustainability can be a critical advantage, Boston Consulting Group senior partner Martin Reeves pointed out. Even when government action puts more burdens on business, Reeves said there can be an upside. When you change the rules of the game, you "are putting a floor on certain behaviors [and] raising barriers to entry." Case in point: the establishment of the Food and Drug Administration, which Reeves contended "essentially took a snake oil industry and turned it into an industry with very strict scientific standards."

When anticipating the learning curve for macro level changes in behavior, it is generally believed that it requires a generation for new behaviors to achieve mainstream acceptance and incorporation into strategic and tactical decision making going forward.  As the tail end of the Boomers and Generation X ascend to leadership positions in business, it would appear that sustainability will be a fundamental consideration for the most savvy and market attuned enterprises moving forward.

Among the panel's key messages was that the need to address ESG issues will only intensify over time, in part because the next generation of business leaders is demanding it. One of the audiences most keenly interested in the report Citigroup puts out annually on its sustainability record, Eubank noted, is the company's recruiting operation. "Students these days are much more environmentally aware, and they want to know what a company's sustainability policies are," Eubank said. "Bankers want to know that they are working for a company that is being responsible."

 

Chaos, Boundaries and Innovation

As I am a visual thinker, I do love a good graphic.  Jeremy Gutsche, Chief Trend Hunter at TrendHunter.com, included some nice ones in his book, Exploiting Chaos last year.  At the core of his thesis, that in times of chaos, companies must learn not to create structure and stability, but rather, to adapt quickly, is this evocation of a process that is aligned with much of my thinking.  While I have nits to pick with some of his conclusions in the book, I appreciate the codification of the thinking around chaos and the opportunities that learning to manage chaos to the enterprises' (and individual's) benefit serves in creating elements of competitive advantage.

The key elements of what Gutsche refers to as the Exploiting Chaos Framework are outlined below:

Culture of Revolution

Culture is more important than strategy. Culture underlies your organization’s ability to adapt, and times of dramatic change magnify this importance. Most likely, your organization perceives the need to adapt, but uncertainty and resistance are paralyzing innovation. By creating an organizational culture of revolution, you can spark a new paradigm for creative change.

Trend Hunting

Innovation and strategic advantage hinge on your ability to anticipate trends and identify the next big thing. By using the cutting-edge framework in this book, you can filter through chaos and identify clusters of opportunity to focus your innovation.

Adaptive Innovation

Engineers, designers, and scientists have invested billions of dollars to perfect human creativity. By applying the best of their proven practices to your own field, you can think big while acting small. You can rapidly identify and evaluate new opportunities.

Infectious Messaging

The Internet has created a world cluttered with chaos, but it has also created the world’s first viral platform for ideas. Well-packaged stories travel faster than ever before. Unfortunately, most marketers are stuck in a world dominated by traditional advertising and cliché. By cultivating infection, your ideas will resonate, helping you to leapfrog ahead of the competition.

 

An expanded view of the Framework adds some color to the canvas.

The first chapter of the eBook is available for free download here and the book can also be purchased at the same location.

Ladies and Gentlemen, the Campfire Strategies Corporate Overview

Due to consulting work and other demands on my time, it took much longer than expected to complete a corporate overview presentation for my business innovation advisory project, Campfire Strategies.  But, here it is, debuting as the first generation.

Campfire Strategies Overview

View more presentations from Bill Martin.

Any and all comments, suggestions, critiques are welcome.

Compendium/Miscellanea/Almanac 01.12.2011

Stuff that I find interesting.  Maybe you will too.

• Budgets, Innovation Squarely in CMOs' Sights in 2011 (Advertising Age) 
• Clouds, big data, and smart assets: Ten tech-enabled business trends to watch  (McKinsey Quarterly) 
• How Tech Will Be Critical to Corporate Sustainability in 2011 (Greenbiz) 
• Light My Fire: The Matchbook Makes a Cultural Comeback (Fast Company) 
• How Aha! Really Happens  (Strategy + Business) 
• Swimming Against the Tide: How Technology, Media, and Telecommunications Companies Can Prosper in the New Economic Reality  (Boston Consulting Group) 
• Eric Berlow: How complexity leads to simplicity  (TED)  
• The AI Revolution Is On  (Wired)  
• The Battle for Control of Smart Cities  (Fast Company) 

Evaluating Growth Strategies

The most recent issue of Strategy + Business features has a nice discussion of Booz & Company’s framework and methodology for evaluating growth strategies in this era of continuing economic uncertainty, tight capital markets and expanding competitive landscapes.

As rapid commoditization of products and services takes its toll on what were, once upon a time, competitively advantage business models, the pursuit, assessment and actualization of unconventional and undiscovered opportunities and ideas becomes increasingly vital.  The article provides an overview of an evaluation methodology built upon five discrete lenses for assessing the viability of new market opportunities, as represented in the graphic below.

 

According to authors Greg Lavery and Chris Manning, “The Growth Lens methodology has five lenses that can be used, separately and together, to expand a company’s perspective on growth. The goal is to challenge assumptions about the size, shape, and definition of markets through a facilitated, creative, and rigorous process of business idea generation.”

Brainstorming, innovation, creativity and ideation are important activities at the front end of the process for developing new revenue engines and the corresponding business models, but informing the process with some rigor for evaluation and rationalization early can prevent time-consuming and costly false starts.

Innovation Is A Strategic Priority!

Innovation is the heart and soul of what I try to do for clients at Campfire Strategies.  As the velocity of change attacks enterprises at both the macro and micro levels, embracing the dynamics by innovating thru products, services and customer care is paramount.  The graphics below, courtesy of Forrester, BCG and BusinessWeek, confirm that in the midst of economic uncertainty, companies that expect to lead in a market place that doesn't currently provide a clear path forward are making innovation a top strategic priority.

Telling A Great Story = $$$

Stumbled across this interesting graphic from Market Matters in the United Kingdom.  They offer strategy workshops as part of their service portfolio to assist companies in improving their capital market valuations by successfully identifying, crafting and telling their story to their key constituencies.  In their words,

"A compelling strategy that creates a vivid picture of where you will stand in five and ten year's time is vital. With so much attention focusing on an uncertain short term, developing a corporate strategy capable of creating long-term shareholder value is increasingly important.  A clear, convincing and credible strategy appeals to investors and inspires employees."

This represents yet one more data point in the rapidly expanding universe supporting the necessity for organizations, of whatever persuasion - profit/non-profit, etc -- to craft their story and tell it to every one of their key stakeholders.

The Only Constant is Change: Addendum

When it rains, it pours, or so it seems.  On the heels of a recent Forrester report on the future of IT services which I wrote about here, management consultant A.T. Kearney weighs in with their own, very similar view on that future.  This recent op-ed in Businessweek by Arjun Sethi and Olivier Aries sees most of the same external drivers highlighted in the Forrester report  but offers a different and altogether more interesting futurescape for IT services.

“ In the next five years outsourcing as we know it will disappear.  The legion of Indian service providers will be sidelined or absorbed. U.S. and European companies that pioneered this corner of the high tech industry will suffer similar fates if they don't wake up.  Who will emerge as the new leaders?  Google and Amazon.com , brands that we associate with search and retail, will become better known for outsourcing."

Longtime readers of this blog will know that I have been harping on the threat that Amazon and Google, in particular, present to the old guard of IT service providers as I have written about it here, here and here. SaaS/cloud technologies, under any name, have been a game changing disruptive force for the past 10 years. When IBM acquired Corio five years ago, that should have, de facto, been some kind of canary in the coal mine.

In their commentary Sethi and Aries also conjure up a vision of what the new outsourcing model will look like.

“In the new model, outsourcers provide standard, off-the-shelf software on a "pay-per-drink" basis. For that, they will leverage so-called cloud technology, which lets users tap into computing power available via the Internet, rather than on a desktop or computer server housed locally. The appeal is scale, flexibility, and efficiency: Thousands of server computers can attack a task more quickly—and cheaply—or handle a patchwork quilt of different technologies that companies use to run their businesses. This approach will let businesses outsource entire tasks such as the tracking of inventory, paying only for the information accessed or used.”

The commentary also mentions who might be the losers in this new model (mid-tier Indian outsourcers), possible winners (SAP, Oracle, Microsoft, Salesforce), and a several major players that are not moving fast enough (Accenture, Xerox, Dell, HP).  

I am guessing that this commentary and the Forrester report will be far from the last discussions regarding the changing IT services landscape.  I would also imagine that we will see more and more discussion of the death of the internal IT department beyond the many books and reports already written.  Fasten your seatbelts.

The Only Constant is Change

"To improve is to change.  To be perfect is to change often." - Winston Churchill

Forrester has a new report out discussing the dynamic evolution that traditional IT services providers are going to experience over the next several years.  This analysis is very timely and it addresses a combination of external drivers that I have been writing and speaking about for the past several years.  The authors, John C. McCarthy and Pascal Matzke have done a masterful job in codifying the thinking around these externalities and their impact to the existing IT service provider business model. This excerpt from the executive summary delivers the high-level on the emerging metamorphosis.  

“The tech services market is about to undergo a massive transformation that will call traditional provider business models into question. Four factors will combine to dramatically change the dynamics, economics, and competitive landscape of IT services over the next three to four years: 1) the “restructuring economy”; 2) innovation moving to the edge of the enterprise; 3) the redefining of buying and governance dynamics in accounts; and 4) “as-a-service” becoming the norm.”

For those that have been engaged in surveying the technology market landscape over the past decade, the conclusions McCarthy/Matzke draw from their analysis is no surprise.  Unfortunately, few of those individuals appear to actually work for the major players in global tech services because those firms have made few, if any, alterations to the business model they have employed for the past 15 years.  As innovation in IT moved from the data center to the business units, on-demand/as-a-service and other cloud-based solutions gained traction, and social/mobile activity emerged as integral parts of the technology platform, Nero fiddled.

And the hits just keep coming.  The Forrester report offers a forecast of why and how the IT services model of today will cease to exist by 2020.  

• Forrester sees at least nine new services entering the market as cloud/SaaS redefine the services business.
• Selective sourcing and utility pricing models broaden their footprints.
• Digital natives and the advance of business (unit) buyers push traditional IT into the background.
• Standardization in cloud/SaaS solutions create pricing transparency and profound pricing pressure on traditional service models.
• Cloud/SaaS drive increasing standardization and process industrialization of services leading to delivery models based on solution partner ecosystems.

From my perspective, the most provocative item in the report is the following table that contrasts the top ten service providers in 2010 with a forecast of what the top 10 will look like in 2020.

 

Looks like a whole lotta growth, death and consolidation in the sector.  Ten years may seem like a lot of time for the current top ten to embrace and adapt to this new environment, but the truth is that this evolution has been ongoing for at least five years.  Too many of the incumbents lack the cultural and operational survival instincts to revolutionize their business models.  Some of the logos we have come to recognize in the global tech services space have already vanished.  It will be interesting to watch how this all plays out over the next decade.